Filed Under: Defense, North Korea, Nuclear Issues, Politics, Six-Party Talks, U.S.-DPRK relations, Working Papers

In this Working Paper, Joel S. Wit, USKI Visiting Scholar and former State Department official, assesses North Korea’s nuclear future by discussing the four most probable scenarios.

Each scenario is analyzed according to a number of factors including the implications for: 1) U.S. political, security and other interests in the region; 2) the same interests for Japan and the Republic of Korea; 3) North Korea, particularly its security relations with the international community and domestic situation; 4) other key surrounding countries, particularly China; 5) peace and stability in Northeast Asia; and 6) the international non-proliferation regime.

Working Paper Series: Four Scenarios for a Nuclear North Korea